03:04 AM Thursday March 14

An upper ridge will remain near or over the area through the weekend. A couple of weak fronts will dent the ridge thursday and again saturday night. The ridge will strengthen monday and tuesday for well above normal temperatures.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

A weak upper ridge axis over western washington early this morning will shift east of the area. A weak front will spread plenty of high and mid level moisture across the region. Some light rain will reach the north coast later this afternoon, but the front will lose strength quickly with little (if any) precip making it into the interior. today is likely the day that seattle finally reaches a high temperature at or a little above normal in 40 days.

The upper ridge begins to rebuild and gain some amplitude over the area on friday. This combined with a little more in the way of low level offshore flow will further boost temperatures with some spots likely to break 60 degrees. There will still be some high clouds around, but they should be thin enough to call it partly sunny. The upper ridge shifts eastward once again on saturday and weakens somewhat as a front approaches. Weak low level offshore continues as we start the weekend. Despite a little more in the way of cloud cover on saturday, the mild stretch continues with many places getting within a couple degrees either side of 60.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Another front attempts to briefly break down the ridge saturday night into sunday. The models have been bouncing around with rain chances. The 00z gfs brings some rain to the olympic peninsula and north interior saturday night into early sunday, but the euro is higher amplitude with the ridge and keeps the area dry. Current forecasts are leaning in the euro direction and will stick with those. From sunday into the middle of next week, its onward and upward as the ridge continues to build before pinching off over british columbia and slowly shifting eastward. Looks like were in line for well deserved stretch of mild spring weather. 27

HYDROLOGY

Flooding is not expected for the next 7 days.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Wa...none. Pz...small craft advisory north of point grenville.

MARINE

Southerly winds will probably reach small craft advisory levels over the northern half of the coastal waters as a weak front arrives today. Another weak front will reach the coastal waters on saturday.

AVIATION

An upper level ridge will remain over western washington today, however a weak frontal system will brush past the northern portion of the cwa this morning. This could bring some light showers to the terminals along the coast and in the northern interior, however it will not have a significant impact to ceilings or visibilities. Mid to high level clouds will continue to move over the region as the front approaches. Overall conditions across the board are currently vfr and are expected to remain vfr throughout the day today. Only exception could be some pockets of mvfr if any areas of stratus develop early this morning. Flow aloft will remain westerly.

Ksea...mid to high level clouds will remain over the terminal as a weak front brushes the area. However, no significant impact to ceilings. Vfr conditions with light southerly winds to 5 knots. 14